{"id":3008,"date":"2023-06-02T12:30:00","date_gmt":"2023-06-02T12:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jetvix.com\/education\/turtle-trading-strategy-in-forex\/"},"modified":"2023-07-12T09:40:55","modified_gmt":"2023-07-12T09:40:55","slug":"estrategia-de-negociacao-turtle-trading-no-forex","status":"publish","type":"education","link":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/education\/estrategia-de-negociacao-turtle-trading-no-forex\/","title":{"rendered":"Estrat\u00e9gia de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o Turtle Trading no Forex"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t
<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"turtle\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t

Estrat\u00e9gia de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o Turtle Trading no Forex<\/h1>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

O experimento da tartaruga, tamb\u00e9m conhecido como o experimento dos “turtle traders”, foi conduzido por Richard Dennis e William Eckhardt em 1983 para determinar se a negocia\u00e7\u00e3o poderia ser ensinada. Dennis, um trader de commodities bem-sucedido, acreditava que negociar \u00e9 uma habilidade que pode ser aprendida, enquanto Eckhardt acreditava ser um talento com o qual as pessoas nascem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pontos principais<\/span><\/h2>\n
    \n
  1. \n

    O experimento Turtle Trading conduzido por Richard Dennis e William Eckhardt foi um sucesso retumbante.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  2. \n

    A efic\u00e1cia do sistema Turtle Trading tem sido questionada nos mercados modernos devido \u00e0s condi\u00e7\u00f5es em constante mudan\u00e7a.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  3. \n

    O sistema Turtle Trading baseia-se na compra de uma a\u00e7\u00e3o ou contrato quando ocorre o rompimento e na venda r\u00e1pida quando o pre\u00e7o recua ou cai.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  4. \n

    O sistema Turtle Trading \u00e9 amplamente reconhecido como uma das estrat\u00e9gias de acompanhamento de tend\u00eancias mais populares.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    O experimento da estrat\u00e9gia Turtle Trading<\/span><\/h3>\n

    No in\u00edcio da d\u00e9cada de 1980, Richard Dennis, um trader de sucesso, acreditava que qualquer um poderia ser ensinado a negociar nos mercados futuros, mas seu s\u00f3cio, William Eckhardt, discordava.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Para encerrar o debate, Dennis montou um experimento para ensinar suas regras de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o a um grupo de pessoas e fazer com que elas negociassem com dinheiro real. Dennis deu aos traders seu pr\u00f3prio dinheiro para negociar, e eles foram chamados de “turtles” em homenagem \u00e0s fazendas de tartarugas que Dennis havia visitado em Singapura. O treinamento durou duas semanas e p\u00f4de ser repetido, e Dennis acreditava que poderia cultivar traders de forma t\u00e3o r\u00e1pida e eficiente quanto as tartarugas eram cultivadas em fazendas.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Encontre as tartarugas<\/span><\/h3>\n

    A fim de testar suas ideias, Dennis anunciou no The Wall Street Journal para encontrar aspirantes a traders dispostos a aprender e aplicar suas regras de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o com dinheiro real. Entre milhares de candidatos, apenas 14 foram selecionados para o primeiro programa “Turtle”. O processo seletivo n\u00e3o foi totalmente divulgado, mas envolveu um question\u00e1rio com perguntas de verdadeiro ou falso, algumas das quais s\u00e3o apresentadas a seguir:<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

    \n
    \n
    \n
    \n
      \n
    1. \n

      \u00c9 poss\u00edvel conseguir grandes lucros no trading comprando quando os pre\u00e7os est\u00e3o baixos ap\u00f3s um decl\u00ednio substancial.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

    2. \n

      N\u00e3o \u00e9 necess\u00e1rio acompanhar todas as cota\u00e7\u00f5es do mercado ao negociar.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

    3. \n

      Seguir as opini\u00f5es de outros traders no mercado pode ser \u00fatil.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

    4. \n

      Se algu\u00e9m tiver $10.000 para arriscar, deve arriscar apenas $2.500 em cada negocia\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

    5. \n

      Ao iniciar uma negocia\u00e7\u00e3o, \u00e9 fundamental ter um plano de sa\u00edda claro em caso de perdas.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

      De acordo com o m\u00e9todo Turtle, 1 e 3 s\u00e3o falsos; 2, 4 e 5 s\u00e3o verdadeiros.<\/span><\/p>\n

      Como usar a estrat\u00e9gia de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o Turtle?<\/span><\/h3>\n

      O experimento Turtle Trading tinha regras espec\u00edficas que eram ensinadas aos traders, enfatizando uma abordagem de acompanhamento de tend\u00eancias. O princ\u00edpio-chave era seguir a filosofia “a tend\u00eancia \u00e9 sua amiga”, o que significa comprar futuros que est\u00e3o rompendo para o lado ascendente das faixas de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o e operar vendido nos rompimentos para o lado descendente. Um exemplo dessa abordagem foi comprar novas m\u00e1ximas de quatro semanas como sinal de entrada. Uma estrat\u00e9gia t\u00edpica de Turtle Trading \u00e9 ilustrada na Figura 1.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

      <\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

      \n\t\t\t\t
      \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
      \n\t\t\t\t
      \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
      \n
      \n
      \n
      \n

      Uma negocia\u00e7\u00e3o lucrativa em novembro de 1979 foi obtida com a compra de prata em um intervalo de 40 dias, conforme ilustrado na Figura 1.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

      \n\t\t\t\t
      \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
      \n
      \n
      \n
      \n

      Essa negocia\u00e7\u00e3o espec\u00edfica foi iniciada com base em uma nova m\u00e1xima de 40 dias e encerrada quando o pre\u00e7o fechou abaixo da m\u00ednima de 20 dias. Os par\u00e2metros exatos usados por Dennis foram mantidos em sigilo por muito tempo e agora s\u00e3o protegidos por v\u00e1rios direitos autorais. No livro de Michael Covel “The Complete TurtleTrader: The Legend, the Lessons, the Results” (2007), ele fornece alguns insights sobre as regras espec\u00edficas:<\/span><\/p>\n

        \n
      1. Tome decis\u00f5es de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o com base nos pre\u00e7os, em vez de confiar em informa\u00e7\u00f5es de comentaristas da televis\u00e3o ou do jornal.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
        \n
        \n
        \n
        \n
          \n
        1. \n

          Seja flex\u00edvel ao definir os par\u00e2metros para os seus sinais de compra e venda. Fa\u00e7a experi\u00eancias com diferentes par\u00e2metros em diferentes mercados para descobrir o que funciona melhor para voc\u00ea.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

        2. \n

          Planeje sua estrat\u00e9gia de sa\u00edda ao mesmo tempo em que planeja sua estrat\u00e9gia de entrada. Determine quando realizar lucros e quando reduzir as perdas.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

        3. \n

          Use o Average True Range para calcular a volatilidade e ajuste o tamanho da sua posi\u00e7\u00e3o de acordo. Assuma posi\u00e7\u00f5es maiores em mercados menos vol\u00e1teis e reduza sua exposi\u00e7\u00e3o aos mercados mais vol\u00e1teis.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

        4. \n

          Nunca arrisque mais de 2% de sua conta em uma \u00fanica negocia\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

        5. \n

          Esteja preparado para enfrentar drawdowns significativos se quiser obter retornos substanciais.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

          Funcionou?<\/span><\/h2>\n

          O sistema de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o Turtle desenvolvido por Dennis foi um sucesso retumbante, com suas tartarugas treinadas pessoalmente ganhando mais de $175 milh\u00f5es em um per\u00edodo de cinco anos. O sistema provou que qualquer pessoa, inclusive os iniciantes, pode aprender a negociar com sucesso. Ainda hoje, o sistema continua funcionando bem e, se algu\u00e9m seguisse as regras originais do sistema, come\u00e7ando com $10.000 no in\u00edcio de 2007, teria terminado o ano com $25.000.<\/span><\/p>\n

          Os traders individuais tamb\u00e9m podem aplicar as regras b\u00e1sicas do sistema de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o Turtle \u00e0s suas pr\u00f3prias pr\u00e1ticas, que envolvem comprar nos rompimentos e fechar negocia\u00e7\u00f5es quando os pre\u00e7os se consolidam ou revertem. Os mesmos princ\u00edpios se aplicam a negocia\u00e7\u00f5es curtas porque os mercados experimentam tend\u00eancias de alta e de baixa. Embora qualquer prazo possa ser usado para o sinal de entrada, o sinal de sa\u00edda precisa ser significativamente mais curto para maximizar as negocia\u00e7\u00f5es lucrativas.<\/span><\/p>\n

          Entretanto, a desvantagem do Turtle Trading \u00e9 significativa e n\u00e3o pode ser ignorada. Os drawdowns s\u00e3o esperados em qualquer sistema de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o, mas tendem a ser especialmente profundos nas estrat\u00e9gias de acompanhamento de tend\u00eancias. Isso se deve em parte ao fato de que a maioria dos rompimentos tendem a ser movimentos falsos, resultando em um grande n\u00famero de negocia\u00e7\u00f5es malsucedidas. Assim, os profissionais alertam os traders que esperem estar corretos em apenas 40%%-50% do tempo, al\u00e9m de se prepararem para grandes drawdowns.<\/span><\/p>\n

          Conclus\u00e3o<\/span><\/h2>\n

          Em conclus\u00e3o, a estrat\u00e9gia de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o dos turtles \u00e9 uma hist\u00f3ria lend\u00e1ria de como um grupo de n\u00e3o traders aprendeu a negociar com sucesso seguindo regras espec\u00edficas. Ela destaca a import\u00e2ncia de se ter um conjunto bem definido e comprovado de crit\u00e9rios para conseguir maiores retornos. No entanto, a taxa de sucesso dessa estrat\u00e9gia n\u00e3o \u00e9 significativamente maior do que o acaso, portanto, os traders devem decidir por si mesmos se ir\u00e3o adot\u00e1-la ou n\u00e3o. Como acontece com qualquer estrat\u00e9gia de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o, \u00e9 fundamental realizar pesquisas e an\u00e1lises completas antes de tomar decis\u00f5es de investimento.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

          \n\t\t\t\t
          \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
          \n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tPractice<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"featured_media":2180,"template":"","education_category":[33],"class_list":["post-3008","education","type-education","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","education_category-trading-tools-and-strategies"],"yoast_head":"\nEstrat\u00e9gia de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o Turtle Trading no Forex - Jetvix - Online CFD Platform<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The turtle experiment, also known as the turtle traders experiment, was a trading experiment conducted by Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt in 1983 to determine if trading could be taught. Dennis, a successful commodities trader, believed that trading was a skill that could be learned, while Eckhardt believed that trading was a talent that people were born with.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/education\/estrategia-de-negociacao-turtle-trading-no-forex\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Estrat\u00e9gia de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o Turtle Trading no Forex - Jetvix - Online CFD Platform\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The turtle experiment, also known as the turtle traders experiment, was a trading experiment conducted by Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt in 1983 to determine if trading could be taught. Dennis, a successful commodities trader, believed that trading was a skill that could be learned, while Eckhardt believed that trading was a talent that people were born with.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/education\/estrategia-de-negociacao-turtle-trading-no-forex\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Jetvix - Online CFD Platform\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-07-12T09:40:55+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/3-1.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1220\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"320\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/education\/estrategia-de-negociacao-turtle-trading-no-forex\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/education\/estrategia-de-negociacao-turtle-trading-no-forex\/\",\"name\":\"Estrat\u00e9gia de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o Turtle Trading no Forex - Jetvix - Online CFD Platform\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-06-02T12:30:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-07-12T09:40:55+00:00\",\"description\":\"The turtle experiment, also known as the turtle traders experiment, was a trading experiment conducted by Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt in 1983 to determine if trading could be taught. Dennis, a successful commodities trader, believed that trading was a skill that could be learned, while Eckhardt believed that trading was a talent that people were born with.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/education\/estrategia-de-negociacao-turtle-trading-no-forex\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"pt-BR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/education\/estrategia-de-negociacao-turtle-trading-no-forex\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/education\/estrategia-de-negociacao-turtle-trading-no-forex\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Education\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/education-page\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Trading tools & strategies\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/education_category\/trading-tools-and-strategies\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"Estrat\u00e9gia de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o Turtle Trading no Forex\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/\",\"name\":\"Jetvix - Online CFD Platform\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"pt-BR\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Estrat\u00e9gia de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o Turtle Trading no Forex - Jetvix - Online CFD Platform","description":"The turtle experiment, also known as the turtle traders experiment, was a trading experiment conducted by Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt in 1983 to determine if trading could be taught. Dennis, a successful commodities trader, believed that trading was a skill that could be learned, while Eckhardt believed that trading was a talent that people were born with.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/education\/estrategia-de-negociacao-turtle-trading-no-forex\/","og_locale":"pt_BR","og_type":"article","og_title":"Estrat\u00e9gia de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o Turtle Trading no Forex - Jetvix - Online CFD Platform","og_description":"The turtle experiment, also known as the turtle traders experiment, was a trading experiment conducted by Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt in 1983 to determine if trading could be taught. Dennis, a successful commodities trader, believed that trading was a skill that could be learned, while Eckhardt believed that trading was a talent that people were born with.","og_url":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/education\/estrategia-de-negociacao-turtle-trading-no-forex\/","og_site_name":"Jetvix - Online CFD Platform","article_modified_time":"2023-07-12T09:40:55+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1220,"height":320,"url":"https:\/\/jetvix.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/3-1.png","type":"image\/png"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Est. reading time":"6 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/education\/estrategia-de-negociacao-turtle-trading-no-forex\/","url":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/education\/estrategia-de-negociacao-turtle-trading-no-forex\/","name":"Estrat\u00e9gia de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o Turtle Trading no Forex - Jetvix - Online CFD Platform","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/#website"},"datePublished":"2023-06-02T12:30:00+00:00","dateModified":"2023-07-12T09:40:55+00:00","description":"The turtle experiment, also known as the turtle traders experiment, was a trading experiment conducted by Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt in 1983 to determine if trading could be taught. Dennis, a successful commodities trader, believed that trading was a skill that could be learned, while Eckhardt believed that trading was a talent that people were born with.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/education\/estrategia-de-negociacao-turtle-trading-no-forex\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"pt-BR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/education\/estrategia-de-negociacao-turtle-trading-no-forex\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/education\/estrategia-de-negociacao-turtle-trading-no-forex\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Education","item":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/education-page\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Trading tools & strategies","item":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/education_category\/trading-tools-and-strategies\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Estrat\u00e9gia de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o Turtle Trading no Forex"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/#website","url":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/","name":"Jetvix - Online CFD Platform","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"pt-BR"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/education\/3008"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/education"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/education"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/education\/3008\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3151,"href":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/education\/3008\/revisions\/3151"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2180"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3008"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"education_category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xronix.tech\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/education_category?post=3008"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}